Kalshi, PolyMarket like prediction markets with distribution functions, moment conditions, and actual predictability

This topic has become an official project of SIAI Labs in 2027. Since it is for academic purpose, at least during the incubation perio where it says on SIAI Labs, it will be purely experimental without actual monetary transaction involved.

More details will be available on SIAI’s notice board by the end of July 2026.